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Disclaimer:
The information presented here is strictly for informational and analytical purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to place any wagers. All insights and predictions are based on data analysis and do not guarantee any outcomes. Please gamble responsibly and consult a professional advisor if you need financial guidance.
Erin Blanchfield
Style: Pressure grappler, top-control specialist
Strengths: Elite positional grappling, cardio, composure, defensive awareness, fight IQ
Status: Rising contender with consistent improvement and tested against high-level opponents
Concerns: Sometimes gets hit cleanly early; striking is improving but still robotic
Maycee Barber
Style: Explosive striker with improved clinch and top control
Strengths: Athleticism, physicality, chaotic striking, durability
Status: Streaking upward, more measured in recent performances, known for aggression
Concerns: Can be outgrappled, gives up bad positions, defensive grappling hasn’t fully evolved
Blanchfield has a clear edge in grappling dominance, especially if she gets to half-guard or back control. Barber has been taken down multiple times even by less credentialed grapplers.
Blanchfield’s ability to chain wrestle and maintain top control is a serious weapon here. Barber may survive early rounds, but positional dominance over time tilts heavily to Blanchfield.
Barber has more explosiveness and variety, and she throws with intent. However, Blanchfield’s jab, composure, and improving striking could neutralize wild exchanges.
Blanchfield’s striking lacks KO threat, but she uses it to enter clinch/takedown range intelligently. Barber’s rawness can cost her if she overextends.
Blanchfield keeps a high pace, thrives in deep waters, and doesn’t fade.
Barber has good cardio but has shown reduced output under pressure, especially when defending grappling exchanges.
No significant layoff or recent damage issues for either.
Both fighters have momentum, but Blanchfield has faced and beaten better-caliber opponents (e.g., Santos, Andrade).
Barber has never fought a smothering positional grappler of Blanchfield’s level.
Blanchfield by Decision or Submission (Rounds 2–3) is the most likely outcome.
Expect early striking exchanges where Barber may have moments, but Blanchfield will likely wear her down with pressure grappling, gaining control and dominance.
A late submission is possible if Barber tires from defensive scrambles.
Predicted Win Probabilities:
Erin Blanchfield: 70%
Maycee Barber: 30%
Underdog Watch: Barber has finishing potential if she hurts Blanchfield early before the takedowns start, but that window is narrow.
Enhancement Note: Grappling control time and opponent scrambling success rate should be weighted heavily in this matchup type for future training.
Mateusz Gamrot
Style: High-output wrestler-scrambler with elite transitions and cardio
Strengths: Chain wrestling, scramble dominance, cardio, composure, experience vs elite
Status: Top contender with proven durability and grappling against elite lightweights
Concerns: Striking can be one-paced, can be timed on entries, less dangerous on the feet
Ľudovít Klein
Style: Southpaw kickboxer with strong boxing and sneaky power
Strengths: Technical striking, power in the left hand, low kicks, improved takedown defense
Status: Lightweight sleeper—on a solid run, more composed recently
Concerns: Historically struggled against wrestlers, limited output when pressured, still unproven at top tier
This is the core mismatch.
Gamrot thrives in scrambles, and even elite fighters like Tsarukyan and Turner struggled to get away from his relentless chain wrestling.
Klein’s takedown defense has improved, but he hasn’t faced this pace or level of persistence.
Klein is the better striker—cleaner, crisper, and more dangerous.
But Gamrot uses his striking functionally to close distance, rarely overexposes himself to danger.
If Klein can time Gamrot’s shots early, he could land a big counter. However, Gamrot has an elite chin and recovers quickly.
Gamrot has elite five-round-level cardio, even though this is likely 3 rounds.
Klein tends to slow down under relentless pressure or grappling-heavy approaches.
Gamrot took some time off after the Fiziev injury TKO but has no major red flags.
Klein is improving and has cleaned up some bad habits, but hasn’t faced anyone with Gamrot’s relentless game.
Klein’s path to victory is early: catching Gamrot with a counter or hurting him before takedowns flow.
Gamrot’s most likely path is grinding Klein to the fence, takedowns, mat returns, and control time.
A finish is possible if Klein gasses or gives up his back.
Predicted Win Probabilities:
Mateusz Gamrot: 76%
Ľudovít Klein: 24%
Billy Ray Goff
Style: Pressure brawler with heavy hands and strong clinch offense
Strengths: Grit, power, recovery, chaos-friendly style
Status: UFC newcomer with regional success, raw but aggressive
Concerns: Defensive gaps, open to takedowns, hittable in exchanges, questionable control off his back
Ramiz Brahimaj
Style: Grappling-heavy submission hunter
Strengths: Slick submissions (especially rear-naked choke), fast back takes, decent entries
Status: UFC veteran with clear ceiling but consistent threat when he gets the fight to the mat
Concerns: Striking is rudimentary, poor striking defense, doesn’t handle pressure well, durability is a concern
Brahimaj’s most obvious win condition is getting an early takedown and quickly jumping on the back.
Goff’s grappling is suspect—he’s been taken down and struggled with back control on the regionals. This is a red flag.
Goff is the far superior striker—more power, better variety, much more aggression.
Brahimaj tends to panic in striking exchanges, often rushing takedowns out of desperation when under fire.
Goff has shown decent recovery and cardio in wars.
Brahimaj’s durability is a concern. He’s been TKO’d before, and if he doesn’t get an early finish, he fades badly.
Brahimaj’s UFC track record is fairly predictable: either he wins by quick sub or gets beat up.
Goff is raw but has the kind of pressure and power that causes Brahimaj problems if he survives the initial grappling storm.
This is a classic binary fight:
If Brahimaj gets the back in Round 1, he likely wins by sub.
If Goff survives early and stays on the feet, his pressure and power will likely break Brahimaj down.
Predicted Outcome:
Billy Ray Goff by KO/TKO (Round 2)
Win Probability:
Billy Ray Goff: 58%
Ramiz Brahimaj: 42%
Volatility is high. Strong early submission threat vs durable pressure striker.
Underdog Watch: Brahimaj has clear path via submission, but only if Goff’s defensive grappling collapses early.
Enhancement Insight: Flag fighters with poor striking defense and early sub reliance (like Brahimaj) as high-risk/high-reward picks, especially against power strikers.
Dustin Jacoby
Style: Technical kickboxer with high-level striking experience (Glory veteran)
Strengths: Volume, timing, jab, leg kicks, composure, chin
Status: UFC vet who has faced elite competition, still dangerous despite being in his mid-30s
Concerns: Takedown defense is decent but not elite, doesn’t deal well with persistent grapplers, limited finishing upside
Bruno Lopes
Style: Wild brawler with power, submission skills, and chaos-heavy fights
Strengths: Finishing ability, aggression, unorthodox attacks
Status: UFC debutant with an impressive regional record but little resistance faced
Concerns: Defensive liabilities, wide strikes, unknown composure under UFC-level pressure, questionable cardio
Massive edge to Jacoby in technique, range management, and shot selection.
Lopes swings wide and wild, leaving massive counters open. Against a composed striker like Jacoby, that’s dangerous.
Lopes may try to mix in grappling if overwhelmed, but Jacoby has shown solid first-layer takedown defense and a good get-up game.
Lopes hasn’t shown the kind of top control or wrestling needed to hold Jacoby down long-term.
Jacoby has a proven gas tank over 3 rounds at a consistent pace.
Lopes has not been tested past Round 1 in most fights and has never fought someone with Jacoby’s volume or durability.
Jacoby is aging (36) but still sharp. His losses are to top 10 guys, and he remains consistent.
Lopes is making his UFC debut—debut nerves, quality of opposition leap, and composure checks are all active concerns.
Lopes has finishing power, but Jacoby is extremely durable and thrives against wild, less technical fighters. Expect Jacoby to chew up the legs, jab the face, and stay out of danger en route to a one-sided decision or a late KO.
Predicted Outcome:
Dustin Jacoby by Decision or TKO (Round 2–3)
Win Probability:
Dustin Jacoby: 73%
Bruno Lopes: 27%
Underdog Watch: Minimal. Lopes’ win condition is early chaos KO, but he hasn’t shown the nuance to set that up.
Key Factor: Style mismatch. Lopes has never fought someone with Jacoby’s striking control, and his wild entries play into Jacoby’s counter game.
Fighter Profiles & Style Breakdown
Zachary Reese
Style: Aggressive finisher, submission-oriented with long limbs and opportunistic striking
Strengths: Fast starter, dangerous front chokes and armbars, unorthodox offense
Status: UFC newcomer with high finish rate but unproven at this level
Concerns: Wild entries, poor striking defense, overcommits to positions, suspect durability
Duško Todorović
Style: Pressure striker with boxing base and willingness to brawl
Strengths: Volume, body-head combos, experience in UFC pace and chaos
Status: Inconsistent UFC veteran, fights in bursts but vulnerable defensively
Concerns: Durability, slow starter, very hittable early, knees and chin have failed under pressure
Both are defensively flawed but dangerous early.
Todorović is more technical but often waits too long to ramp up—Reese starts hot and swings wild.
If Reese doesn’t find the early KO or sub, he often fades, while Todorović heats up mid-fight.
Reese has sneaky submissions, but his wrestling entries are loose.
Todorović has struggled defensively on the mat but is hard to control for long.
This could get chaotic in scrambles, especially in R1.
Reese hasn’t been extended much; questionable if he can survive a prolonged war.
Todorović’s cardio is okay, but his body has taken a lot of damage; knees and chin are red flags.
Both men can finish and be finished—very high volatility.
Reese was blown out by Brundage in <2 minutes (KO while trying to roll for a leg).
Todorović is coming off a long layoff (ACL tear)—major concern.
This is Todorović’s first fight back from knee surgery, and historically he’s struggled with explosive openers.
This fight ends early more often than not. Reese is live in Round 1 by chaotic submission or flurry KO. But if Todorović survives that, he likely takes over with pressure striking.
Predicted Outcome:
Duško Todorović by TKO (Round 2) – but high-risk
Win Probability:
Duško Todorović: 54%
Zachary Reese: 46%
Volatility Rating: Very high. Both fighters are flawed, hittable, and aggressive. Early finish likely.
Underdog Watch: Reese is live in Round 1 via submission or KO. Betting value may exist on Fight Doesn’t Go to Decision.
Adjustment Insight: For fights like this, weigh first-round finish rate and defensive liability metrics heavily.